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NISM Professor

ADX

Also written Average Directional Index

An oscillator running from zero to 100 that measures how strong a trend is, without indicating whether that trend is up or down.

In plain language

A trend can be strong or weak, and separately, it can be up or down. Most indicators tell you the direction. ADX tells you the strength instead.

A low ADX means the market is not trending much either way — trend-following strategies are less likely to work. A rising ADX means a trend, whichever direction it is running, is gaining real force.

How it works

The workbook: "ADX measures strength of the trend and is widely used as a trend indicator... It quantifies the strength of the trend, and its calculations are based on a moving average of price range expansion over a given period of time. The default setting is 14 bars... ADX does not identify the direction of the market; it registers trend strength irrespective of whether the price is trending up or down."

It is normally plotted alongside two Directional Movement Indicators, +DMI and −DMI. The workbook gives a clear threshold: an ADX below 25 signals a weak trend or no trend; a rising ADX that has crossed 25 signals a strengthening trend. A buy signal needs both conditions together — +DMI crossing above −DMI, while ADX is also rising — and the workbook explicitly warns against acting on a DMI crossover when ADX is weak.

A worked example

Illustrative. A stock's ADX has been sitting at 18 for weeks — a weak or non-existent trend, below the 25 threshold. Over the next two weeks, ADX climbs to 27, and at the same time the +DMI line crosses above the −DMI line, at values of 22 and 19 respectively.

Both conditions the workbook requires are now met: ADX has crossed above 25 and is rising, and +DMI has crossed above −DMI. A trend-following trader takes this as a buy signal. Had the DMI crossover happened while ADX was still at 18, the workbook's own rule says to avoid acting on it — the trend is not strong enough to trust the signal.

Why NISM asks about it

Chapter 15.9.4 (Average Directional Index) sets out the 14-bar default, the 0–100 scale, the 25 threshold, and the DMI crossover signal logic. Expect a question testing the default period, the 25 threshold, or the distinction between ADX (strength) and DMI (direction).

Common exam traps

  • A high ADX does not mean bullish — it only means the trend, whatever its direction, is strong. A high ADX in a falling market signals a strong downtrend, not a buying opportunity.
  • The workbook explicitly says to avoid DMI crossovers when ADX is weak — a crossover alone, without a rising ADX above 25, is not a reliable signal on its own.

Check yourself

  1. 1.A trader sees +DMI cross above −DMI while the ADX is reading 19 and drifting sideways. What does the chapter advise?

    1. a)Buy, because the DMI crossover is the signal and ADX only confirms afterwards
    2. b)Avoid the trade, because an ADX below 25 indicates a weak trend or no trend and the trade is highly unlikely to succeed
    3. c)Sell, because an ADX below 25 is itself a bearish signal
    4. d)Buy a smaller quantity, because ADX below 25 halves the reliability of the signal
    Show the answer

    Answer: (b) Avoid the trade, because an ADX below 25 indicates a weak trend or no trend and the trade is highly unlikely to succeed

    The workbook is unambiguous: an ADX value of less than 25 is generally considered a weak trend or no trend, and avoid the DMI crossovers and crossdowns if the ADX value is weak — it is highly unlikely that the trade will succeed.

    Option A reverses the sequence. The valid buy setup requires both conditions together: +DMI crossing over −DMI from the lower side AND a rising ADX, particularly one that has crossed 25.

    Option C misunderstands what ADX is. ADX does not identify the direction of the market — a low reading means the market is going nowhere, not down. Option D invents a position-sizing rule the chapter does not contain.

Where this is taught

Free preparation for NISM Series XV

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