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Long hedge

Also written Buying hedge

A hedge made by buying futures to protect against a price rise before a planned future purchase — the gain on futures offsets the higher cash price, locking in roughly the futures price.

In plain language

A long hedge protects someone who will buy later and is afraid the price will rise before then.

The workbook's definition: long hedge is the transaction when we hedge our position in cash market by going long in futures market.

Typical situations the workbook gives:

  • You expect to receive money in future and plan to invest it in shares, but you fear the market will have risen by then. Buy index futures today; when the money arrives, invest it and unwind the futures.
  • You have the money but suitable shares are not available in enough quantity, and rushing to buy would push prices up. Buy futures now, invest gradually in the cash market and unwind futures bit by bit.

If the price rises, you pay more in the cash market but make a profit on the futures. If the price falls, you pay less in the cash market but lose on the futures. Either way, the effective price lands close to the futures price you locked in. You give up the benefit of a fall to be protected from a rise.

How it works

  • Instrument: stock futures for a specific stock (hedge ratio 1:1 by lot size), or index futures for an undecided or broad purchase.
  • Contract month: the workbook's thumb rule is to choose the contract that expires just after the date on which you plan to unwind.
  • Quantity: match the number of shares to the lot size. For a portfolio against index futures, use the beta-based hedge ratio.
  • Unwind: on the purchase date, buy in the cash market and square off the long futures at the same time.

The hedge is rarely perfect. Futures and spot prices do not move identically before expiry, so the effective price ends near — not exactly at — the original futures price.

The formula

Net cost = Cash purchase cost − Gain on futures   (or + Loss on futures)
Effective price per share = Net cost / Number of shares

A worked example

The workbook's example (Chapter 5, section 5.1). On 10 May you want to buy 1,500 shares of ABC Ltd, trading at Rs 455, but your funds arrive only on 20 June when a bank deposit matures. June futures trade at Rs 457.30; lot size 1,500. Buy one lot.

Scenario 1 — price rises. On 20 June spot is Rs 520, futures Rs 521.20.

Rs
Cost of buying 1,500 × 5207,80,000
Less gain on futures (521.20 − 457.30) × 1,500(−) 95,850
Net cost6,84,150
Per share456.10

Scenario 2 — price falls. On 20 June spot is Rs 390, futures Rs 391.10.

Rs
Cost of buying 1,500 × 3905,85,000
Add loss on futures (457.30 − 391.10) × 1,500(+) 99,300
Net cost6,84,300
Per share456.20

A Rs 130 swing in the share price moved the effective cost by just 10 paise. Both land close to the Rs 457.30 futures price.

Why NISM asks about it

Chapter 3, section 3.9 (Important terms in hedging), defines the long hedge with the index-futures investment example. Chapter 5, section 5.1, works it with the ABC Ltd stock futures numbers above. The paper asks which hedge suits a given situation (planned purchase → long hedge) and the effective price after the hedge.

Common exam traps

  • Planned purchase → long hedge; planned sale or existing holding → short hedge. The direction follows what you will do in the cash market, not what you own today.
  • A long hedge gives up the benefit of a price fall. In Scenario 2 the cheaper shares were offset by a futures loss.
  • Effective price ≈ futures price, not spot price. It is near Rs 457.30, not Rs 455.
  • Choose the contract expiring just after the unwind date, not the one expiring before it.
  • A long hedge is still a hedge, not a speculative long: the investor has a matching cash-market exposure.

Where this is taught

Free preparation for NISM Series IV

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