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Total return

The whole return on an investment for a period: periodic income such as interest, dividend or rent plus the gain or loss in the value of the investment itself.

In plain language

An investment can pay you in two ways. It can hand you income while you hold it — interest on a bond, a dividend on a share, rent on a flat. And the thing itself can become worth more or less than you paid for it. Total return simply adds the two together.

The point of the idea is that neither half, on its own, tells you how you did. A bond that pays a generous coupon while its price falls may leave you worse off than a deposit paying less. A share that pays no dividend at all may still have been the best investment you made.

The workbook is explicit that the value change counts whether or not you sell: realised gains and unrealised, notional gains both form part of the return calculation.

How it works

The mix of the two components differs by asset class, and the workbook lists them:

AssetPeriodic incomeValue change
DebtInterestChange in the value of the securities
EquityDividends — a small partChange in share value — the major part
Real estateRentChange in the value of the property
Gold and other commoditiesNoneAppreciation is typically the only source

Two consequences follow.

Volatility comes from the value component. Share prices change every day, so total returns from equity are volatile; debt prices change less often, so debt total returns are steadier; a deposit has no value component at all and earns only interest.

Falling interest rates can raise a bond investor's total return even as income falls. Bond prices move inversely to rates, so in a low-rate period the coupon is lower but the capital gain is higher. The risk runs the other way when rates rise: capital losses eat into the interest earned, and the higher the duration of the bond, the larger the gain or loss.

The formula

Total return (Rs) = Periodic income + (Ending value − Beginning value)

Total return (%)  = Total return (Rs) ÷ Beginning value × 100

The value change can be negative, and so can the total return.

A worked example

The workbook's mutual fund case. X buys at an NAV of Rs 12, receives a dividend of Re 0.80, and a year later the NAV is Rs 12.50.

Total return = 0.80 + (12.50 − 12.00) = Rs 1.30 per unit
As a percentage = 1.30 ÷ 12 × 100 = 10.83%

If the NAV had instead fallen to Rs 11:

Total return = 0.80 + (11.00 − 12.00) = −Re 0.20 per unit

The dividend was paid either way. The investor still lost money.

The workbook's debenture case. A 9 percent debenture of face value Rs 100 pays Rs 9 interest; its market price falls to Rs 98. Total return = 9 − 2 = Rs 7.

Scaled up (illustrative). A retiree holds Rs 10 lakh of bonds — 1,000 bonds of Rs 1,000 each — paying an 8 percent coupon. Rates rise and the price falls 10 percent to Rs 900:

Coupon income  = 8% × 10,00,000        = + Rs 80,000
Capital loss   = 1,000 × (1,000 − 900) = − Rs 1,00,000
Total return                           = − Rs 20,000  (−2%)

That is the workbook's own "8 percent coupon, 10 percent price fall, minus 2 percent total return" in rupees. The bank statement shows Rs 80,000 of interest credited; the portfolio is Rs 20,000 smaller than it was.

Why NISM asks about it

Chapter 2, section 2.5.1 (Total Returns from an Asset Class) introduces it with the minus-2-percent bond example, and Chapter 5, sections 5.1 and 5.6.1, return to it with the NAV and debenture illustrations. Expect a small computation — income plus value change, with the sign of the value change doing the work — and conceptual questions on which asset class earns its return only from appreciation (gold), why equity total returns are more volatile than debt, and why bond total returns can rise when interest rates fall.

Common exam traps

  • Unrealised gains count. The workbook says gains and losses form part of the return whether realised by selling or only notional. Do not drop a price change because the investor did not sell.
  • A positive income does not mean a positive total return. Both workbook examples with a price fall — the Rs 11 NAV and the 10 percent bond fall — turn a paid-out income into a negative total.
  • Gold has no income component. Its total return is appreciation only. Real estate has both; equity has both, but dividends are the small part.
  • Low interest rates do not always mean low bond returns. The coupon is lower, but the price gain pushes total return up. A deposit, which has no price component, gets no such benefit.
  • Longer duration magnifies the value component in both directions.
  • Total return is not the same as tax-adjusted return. Chapter 5 treats post-tax return as a separate adjustment made after the total is known.

Check yourself

  1. 1.A bond paying an 8% coupon falls 10% in price over the year. What is the total return for that year?

    1. a)Positive 8%
    2. b)Negative 2%
    3. c)Negative 10%
    4. d)Negative 18%
    Show the answer

    Answer: (b) Negative 2%

    Total return is income earned plus the change in the value of the investment. Here the income is +8% and the change in value is −10%, giving −2%.

    This is why total return matters. Judged on income alone the bond looks like an 8% earner; the investor actually ended the year poorer. The same principle applies in reverse — a stock paying a 1% dividend that rises 20% has a total return of 21%, not 1%.

  2. 2.Arjun buys units of a mutual fund at an NAV of Rs 12 and receives a dividend of Re 0.80. One year later the NAV is Rs 11 and he has not sold. What is his total return per unit for the year?

    1. a)Re 0.80 — the fall in NAV is unrealised and does not count until the units are sold
    2. b)−Re 1.00 — only the change in NAV counts towards the return
    3. c)−Re 0.20 — the dividend of Re 0.80 plus the fall in NAV of −Re 1.00
    4. d)Rs 1.80 — the dividend plus the absolute size of the NAV movement
    Show the answer

    Answer: (c) −Re 0.20 — the dividend of Re 0.80 plus the fall in NAV of −Re 1.00

    This is the workbook's own variation: "if the NAV at the end of the year is Rs.11, then the total return from the investment is Re.-0.20 (Re 0.80 + (-1.00))." Returns come as periodic income such as interest or dividend plus gains or losses in the value of the investment, and "THE TOTAL RETURN FROM THE INVESTMENT CAN BE POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE."

    Why Re 0.80 is wrong: gains and losses "may be realized by selling the investment, OR UNREALIZED OR NOTIONAL and represented by the increase/decrease in the values. EITHER WAY THEY FORM PART OF THE RETURN CALCULATIONS." Not selling does not remove the loss from the return.

    Why −Re 1.00 is wrong: it ignores the dividend, which is the periodic income component.

    Why Rs 1.80 is wrong: a fall in value is a negative number and is subtracted, not added. (Had the NAV risen to Rs 12.50, the workbook's answer would have been Rs 1.30 — Re 0.80 dividend plus Re 0.50 appreciation.)

  3. 3.Suresh holds a debenture with a face value of Rs 100 paying 9 percent interest. During the year its market price falls to Rs 98. What total return has he earned per debenture?

    1. a)Rs 9
    2. b)Rs 7
    3. c)Rs 11
    4. d)Rs 2
    Show the answer

    Answer: (b) Rs 7

    This is the workbook's worked example. "The interest income earned is Rs.9 (9 percent of Rs.100). The capital loss suffered is Rs.2 (Rs.100 − Rs.98). The Total Returns earned is Rs.7 (Rs.9 − Rs.2)."

    Where the wrong answers come from:

    • Rs 9 counts only the interest. "Without the capital loss, the returns from the investment would have been Rs. 9" — but the loss is part of total return.
    • Rs 11 adds the capital loss instead of subtracting it.
    • Rs 2 is the capital loss alone.

    The lesson the workbook draws: "the component of capital gain or loss in total returns MAKES THE TOTAL RETURNS FROM AN INVESTMENT VOLATILE." For bonds, "the extent of change in the value will depend upon the DURATION of the bond: higher the duration higher will be the gain or loss in value."

Where this is taught

Free preparation for NISM Series XVII

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