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Value weighted index

Also written Market-value weighted index · Market capitalisation weighted index · Market capitalization weighted index

An index weighting each stock by its market capitalisation, or free-float market capitalisation, divided by the total — the most popular method, and the natural basis for index funds and derivatives.

In plain language

In a value-weighted index, bigger companies count for more. Each stock's weight is its market capitalisation — shares outstanding times price — as a share of the total market capitalisation of all constituents.

The workbook calls it the most popular of the four ways of assigning weights.

The logic is that the index should behave like the market itself. If a company is half the value of the segment, a 10% move in its price should move the segment about 5%, and in a value-weighted index it does. A 10% move in a tiny company barely registers.

Most modern indices use free-float market capitalisation rather than full market capitalisation. Free float excludes shares that are not really available to trade — promoter and controlling holdings, government promoter stakes, strategic stakes, cross-holdings, locked-in shares and similar.

How it works

Weights (Example 8.2). Five securities have a total market capitalisation of Rs 970. Security C, worth Rs 490, has a weight of 490 ÷ 970 = 50.52%. Security A, worth Rs 150, has 15.46%.

Level. For a base of 100, the divisor is 970 ÷ 100 = 9.7. Three months later total market cap is 835, so the index is 835 ÷ 9.7 = 86.08.

Properties the workbook highlights (section 8.3.2):

  • A given percentage change in a large company has a greater impact than the same change in a small one.
  • There is an automatic adjustment for stock splits and other capital changes, since price and share count move together.
  • That makes it the ideal choice for index funds and index derivatives: a security's weight adjusts automatically as its market value changes, so a fund holding shares in index proportion needs no rebalancing for price moves.

The criticism (section 8.3.4). Weighting by market value means the index overweights overvalued stocks and underweights undervalued ones — a stock that becomes expensive automatically becomes a bigger part of the index. That is what fundamental-weighted indices were created to counter.

Free-float adoption. BSE Sensex moved from full market capitalisation to free float with effect from September 1, 2003; NIFTY 50 moved on June 26, 2009.

The formula

Market value of stock i = Shares outstanding (or free-float shares) × Price

Weight of stock i = Market value of i ÷ Σ market values

Index = Σ market values ÷ Divisor

A worked example

The same price moves, three weighting schemes. Using the workbook's Examples 8.2 and 8.3, five stocks move like this between T0 and T1:

StockPrice T0Price T1SharesMkt cap T0Mkt cap T1
ARs 3Rs 0.505015025
BRs 1Rs 1505050
CRs 7Rs 770490490
DRs 9Rs 920180180
ERs 10Rs 91010090
Total3026.50970835
Value-weighted:  835 ÷ 970 − 1           = −13.92%
Price-weighted:  26.50 ÷ 30 − 1          = −11.67%
Equal-weighted:  (−83.33 + 0 + 0 + 0 − 10) ÷ 5 = −18.67%

Stock A collapsed 83%. In the equal-weighted index it is one-fifth of the result, so the index falls hardest. In the value-weighted index A was only 15.46% of the value, so the fall is moderated. In the price-weighted index, A's low price gave it little influence at all.

An index fund with Rs 97 crore tracking the value-weighted index would have been worth Rs 83.5 crore at T1 — and would have needed no trades to stay in line, because every holding's weight moved with its own market value.

Why NISM asks about it

Chapter 8, section 8.3 lists the four weighting schemes and calls value weighting the most popular; section 8.3.2 and Box 8.2 give Examples 8.2 to 8.4 and the free-float exclusions; section 8.3.4 gives the overvaluation criticism. Expect a weight calculation, the "ideal for index funds and derivatives" rationale, and the free-float switch dates.

Common exam traps

  • Value-weighted indices adjust automatically for stock splits. Price-weighted indices do not.
  • In a value-weighted index, large companies have more influence; in a price-weighted one, high-priced shares do. They are different things.
  • The criticism is overweighting overvalued stocks, not overweighting small ones.
  • Free float excludes controlling, promoter, government-promoter, FDI-route, strategic, cross-holding, employee-welfare-trust and locked-in shares.
  • Sensex moved to free float from September 1, 2003; NIFTY 50 from June 26, 2009. Easy to swap.
  • Most popular method = value weighted, per the workbook — not equal weighted.

Check yourself

  1. 1.A value-weighted index stands at 86.08. On reconstitution, one stock is replaced and the total market capitalisation of the new constituents becomes ₹1,230. To keep the index unchanged, the new divisor should be about:

    1. a)12.30
    2. b)9.70
    3. c)14.28
    4. d)8.35
    Show the answer

    Answer: (c) 14.28

    The divisor is chosen "in such a way that the value of the index remains the same after the restructuring". New divisor = new total market cap ÷ current index level = 1,230 ÷ 86.08 = 14.28 (Example 8.4).

    Why the others are wrong: 12.30 divides by the base value of 100, which would reset the index to 100. 9.70 is the original divisor, which would push the index to about 126.8. 8.35 is 835 ÷ 100, from an earlier table.

Where this is taught

Free preparation for NISM Series XXI-B

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