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Market Proxy

Also written Market portfolio proxy · Proxy for the market portfolio

A practical stand-in for the theoretical market portfolio — usually a broad-based equity index. The choice matters: an incorrect proxy distorts beta and the security market line.

In plain language

CAPM measures every asset's risk against the market portfolio — a portfolio of all risky assets in the world. The workbook lists what that would have to include: domestic and foreign stocks and bonds, real estate, coins, stamps, art, antiques and any other marketable risky asset.

Nobody can build or measure that portfolio. It is not possible to construct in practice, so proxies are used. A market proxy is that stand-in, and broad-based equity market indices are the usual choice.

Two cautions from the workbook: there is no unanimity about which proxy to use, and an incorrect market proxy will affect both the beta risk measures and the position and slope of the SML used to evaluate portfolio performance.

How it works

Where the proxy enters the calculations:

CalculationHow the proxy is usedWorkbook reference
BetaSensitivity of a security's return to an index's return, "chosen as a proxy for market portfolio"Chapter 3 (cost of equity)
CAPM required returnRm = return on a market portfolio; "a popular broad market index is a good proxy"Chapter 20, section 20.2.9
Systematic riskIndices serve as proxy for the market portfolio when calculating systematic riskChapter 12, section 12.2
Security market lineIts position and slope depend on the proxyChapter 16, section 16.4

Why it matters. Beta is the covariance of a stock with the market divided by the market's variance. Change the "market" and both numbers change, so beta changes. The required return, the SML and every alpha measured against it change too — so a manager's apparent alpha can depend on the proxy chosen.

Related uses of the word proxy. The workbook also calls beta a proxy for non-diversifiable (systematic) risk, and the government security yield of similar maturity the best proxy for the risk-free rate. Those are different proxies; the market proxy specifically stands in for portfolio M.

A worked example

Illustrative figures. A PMS manager's large-cap portfolio returned 15% last year. The risk-free rate was 7%. She evaluates herself with CAPM using two possible market proxies.

Proxy 1: broad large-cap indexProxy 2: a narrow 30-stock index
Proxy return (Rm)13%16%
Portfolio beta against the proxy1.10.9
Required return = 7 + β × (Rm − 7)7 + 1.1 × 6 = 13.6%7 + 0.9 × 9 = 15.1%
Alpha = 15 − required+1.4%−0.1%

Same portfolio, same year. Against Proxy 1 she added value; against Proxy 2 she slightly underperformed. On a ₹25 crore portfolio, the difference between the two alphas (1.5 percentage points) is about ₹37.5 lakh of apparent value added.

This is the workbook's warning in action: an incorrect proxy changes beta, the SML and the conclusion about performance.

Why NISM asks about it

Chapter 16 (Introduction to Capital Market Theory), section 16.4, explains why a proxy is needed for the market portfolio and warns about incorrect proxies. Chapter 12 (section 12.2) lists acting as a market proxy among the uses of indices — Chapter 12's sample question 1 includes measuring systematic risk among an index's uses. Chapter 20 (section 20.2.9, Alpha and Beta return) uses a broad index as the proxy in the alpha calculation.

Common exam traps

  • The true market portfolio includes all risky assets worldwide — not just equities. The proxy is usually equity-only, which is why it is imperfect.
  • There is no unanimity about which proxy to use.
  • An incorrect proxy affects beta and the SML — both the position and the slope of the SML.
  • Market proxy ≠ beta as a proxy. Beta is a proxy for systematic risk; the market proxy stands in for portfolio M.
  • A proxy can change a manager's measured alpha, so performance comparisons should state which proxy was used.

Where this is taught

Free preparation for NISM Series XXI-B

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